Well I'll be darned.... :smiley_chinrub:
All I'm saying is I think there are less total gun-hunting hours of effort being put forth now than what we've seen in years past. Decreased effort results in decreased kill numbers... and theoretically may result in less overall sightings, due to reduced pushing.
Are the numbers down? Most likely. Are the decreased gun harvest numbers simply the result of there being fewer deer? I don't think so... I think there's more to it than that.
As I mentioned in the other thread before you said that too..
Percent Does killed 2003 compared to 2010 Vertical BOW =
+258% (9,537 / 24,615)
Percent Does killed 2003 compared to 2010 CROSSBOW =
+193% (12,639 / 24,458)
Lets look at what Tonk said...
2003 DNR Article.. "Approximately 450,000 hunters are expected to participate in this year's statewide deer-gun season that begins Monday, December 1, according to the Ohio Department of Natural Resources (ODNR) Division of Wildlife."
Source..
2012 DNR Article.. "Approximately 420,000 hunters are expected to participate in this year’s season, including many out-of-state hunters."
Source.
That's a -7.67% decrease in participation. If we factor in the standard 33% success rate for that lost 30,000, that's 9,900 successful hunters we lost since 2003..
Looking at the harvest numbers for gun.
115,283 in 2003 Seven Day Gun
86,964 in 2012 Seven Day Gun
-28,319 less deer..
9,900 lost successful hunters would not equate to a harvest loss of -28K deer. Unless those hunters all killed 3+ deer in 2003..
Add in Bonus gun and we get closer. It's a loss of 8,264 deer... assuming it's the same participants, or at least those who didn't score during regular gun.
Now we might be on to something and within a margin of error. A loss of 9,900 successful hunters from 2003 could equate to a loss of 8,264 deer a combined gun season. Still down. But not by much. And within what I would expect to see with that loss.
So indeed.. The loss of hunters during gun could very well explain the loss in harvest. However the overall numbers of licensed hunters in general have dropped by about the same amount. I wouldn't say it's because they switched to archery. We just have less hunters. But not much.
But there's a problem, Archery is showing a +26K increase in kills. Almost a 221% increase since 2003.
The data we don't have from 2003 is how many hours is it taking guys to kill a deer? In 2003 it could have taken 8.. In 2012 maybe 16. There in will lay our answer. But in reality we don't need math to know the population is down significantly.. Take a peek at the DNRs Facebook page where they posted the season totals.. About 95% of them are screaming about it being the worst gun season they've ever seen. 4-5 years ago when Brock and I first said this there we're very very few who agreed.. Most laughed.. Now just 4 short years later we have no shortage of company on this side of the fence. Some of them were adamant that we were nuts 4 years ago.. It is an undeniable fact that the population has been reduced in ever expanding areas to where people are getting mad..