That was my thought as well. Do you think the decrease in gun is the result of a generational shift? Maybe the older generations aren't being replaced by younger gun hunters? Maybe the decline in deer has turned off many to hunting altogether? Maybe more have switched to archery and we simply don't have as many deer to kill? I don't know. Just lots of possibilities. I do know we have better equipment than ever. It allows many more to be more efficient than prior years. I think we simply have less deer. Whether you are gun or bow hunting.
Tough to say Phil. Sense permits aren't sold by season, it is difficult to truly know the statistics behind the swing in hunter participation in archery vs. gun. That said, I think a safe assumption is many who once spent a week or two in the woods during gun are taking advantage of the longer archery season.
Is there a level of turnover due to age driving less gun participation? Highly possible. Also possible that the recruitment of young hunters may be slipping due to other activities and loss of interest through an increase in skunked hunts.
Is gun harvest dropping because less participation means less deer being bumped leading to less shot opportunities for stand hunters? Is it dropping because land access is drying up? Or is it because there are just that fewer deer?
My guess, a blend of all 3. So then it is the chicken or the egg - which came first...did deer numbers dropping lead to a lower harvest, causing hunters to give up/slow retaining recruitment of youth (which the man at the top said would happen before they achieved their goals), also leading to hunters loosing land access through leases locking up properties as people tried to buy their own slice of heaven to preserve...